Interpreting your wellness trend

What "trend" means

Daily wellness numbers are noisy. One bad night of sleep, a single stressful day, a one-off sore back: not signal, just life. The trend over a 7 to 14 day window is what your coach reads. That is where overreaching, illness, under-recovery, and life stress all show up first.

The trend lives in the same logs you fill in at /my-wellness/. See Logging daily wellness for the form itself.

What a normal trend looks like

• Sleep hours: typical range 6.5 to 8.5, with weekly averages stable week to week.
• Sleep quality: 6 to 8 on the 1-10 scale most days.
• Soreness: 2 to 4 most days, spiking after key sessions and returning to baseline within 48 to 72 hours.
• Mood and motivation: 5 to 8 most days.
• Stress: 3 to 5 most days. Higher around work or family events, returning to baseline within a week.
• Resting HR: stable within 5 bpm of your baseline.
• HRV: noisy but oscillating around a personal mean.

What a concerning trend looks like

The patterns coaches watch for:

• Sleep dropping under 6 hours for 4+ days.
• Soreness elevated above 6 for 4+ days without an obvious heavy training cause.
• Mood and motivation drifting down for 7+ days.
• Resting HR rising 5+ bpm above 14-day baseline for 3+ days.
• HRV dropping 15+ percent for 5+ days.
• Illness reported at any point.

Multiple of these stacking is when the coach is most likely to insert a recovery week (see Inserting a recovery week).

What you should do as the athlete

• Log daily if you can. Trends matter more than any one entry.
• Be honest. A 5 mood day is a 5, not a 7 to make the coach feel better. The coach can only adjust the plan if the data is real.
• Use the notes field for context. "Travel day", "kid sick", "great session". One sentence is enough; it unlocks interpretation.
• Tell your coach when something changes that the form does not capture (new job, new injury, big life event).

What the system does automatically

• Concerning flags are computed per log entry and surface on the coach dashboard. See Concerning flags explained.
• Trends are not auto-emailed to you. The coach reads them on their dashboard.

What this page does NOT do

• Diagnose. A trend signal is a prompt for conversation with your coach (or a doctor if needed), not a diagnosis.
• Auto-skip workouts. If wellness is rough, you and your coach still decide what to do; the Hub does not auto-cancel sessions.

See also: Logging daily wellness, Concerning flags explained, Plan adjust: inserting a recovery week.